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It’s that time again. The preseason’s winding down, the 53-man roster deadline is looming, the 2025 Kickoff Game is on the horizon. You know what this means …
It’s officially PREDICTIONS SEASON!!
Well, actually, I am a bit of a stickler for calling the outputs of my various models projections , as opposed to predictions. When you refer to something as a prediction , it sounds like speculative judgment is the main factor. But with my models, I strive to eliminate as many biases as possible from the mathematical framework.
Below, you’ll find my model’s projected league leaders in each of the major individual statistics. I ran 272,000 simulations for each of the 272 regular-season games — 73,984,000 total sims! — to get these results. I’ve also included some extra nuggets on players who, though they don’t necessarily project to rank first, are poised to produce outputs that are interesting for fantasy and/or individual-achievement purposes.
Should anything major happen, like a big trade or a holdout carrying into the regular season (ahem, Trey Hendrickson was last season’s sack leader …), I will update my rankings. In other words, these numbers can change. But let me know how you feel about today’s projections. Do you agree? What are your predictions? And of course, if you’ve created a model to project your own stats leaders, please send your forecasts to my socials so we can all see your receipts come January! Who doesn’t love being right?!
NOTE: Because these projected stat totals are averages, they do not naturally round to whole numbers. However, to avoid confusion around projecting that someone will finish with, say, a fraction of a touchdown pass, I only included whole numbers — except with regard to ties, in which case I rounded to the nearest 10th .
