NFL Pro fantasy football preview: Week 10 insights

Matt Okada

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Nine weeks in the books, eight more to go! We’re on to Week 10 … and it’s packed with storylines. To better understand and decipher them, NFL Pro has a wealth of data and insights, carefully curated to highlight what matters most in each game. And in the world of fantasy football, we need every advantage we can get.

Here are four of those storylines, with all the relevant NFL Pro insights and the fantasy fallout we can expect this weekend.

On the whole, the Atlanta passing attack has struggled to get off the ground this season. They rank 26th in NFL Pro’s overall offensive passing efficiency and have just eight touchdown passes on the season, third-fewest in the league … behind the Browns and Titans. The one bright spot has been wide receiver Drake London. Since getting healthy (from a season-opening shoulder injury) around Week 4, London has averaged 25.95 fantasy points per game — most among wide receivers — scoring 25+ points in three of four games played over that span. His 32.2% target rate trails only Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Puka Nacua on the season (min. 100 routes run) and he’s averaged an elite 3.1 yards per route run since that Week 4 turnaround.

Early on Sunday, London and the Falcons will take on the Colts in Berlin … potentially the debut of freshly acquired All-Pro cornerback Sauce Gardner, if he clears concussion protocol. In a somewhat inconsistent first half with the Jets, Gardner has faced his opponent’s number one receiver on 45.5% of his coverage matchups, the second-highest rate in the NFL (min. 100 coverage matchups). And when targeted, Gardner has forced a tight window (less than one yard of separation) at a 53.8% rate, which also leads the league (min. 10 targets). Before his arrival, the Colts were allowing just 11.2 yards per reception to wide receivers (fourth-fewest) but 158.5 yards per game (ninth-most), as they’d faced a league-high 348 pass attempts while putting opponents in come-from-behind mode early and often. This has all the makings of another double-digit target day for London, and could result in a must-watch duel between him and Gardner if the corner is healthy.

Fantasy Fallout: You’re absolutely starting Drake London, no matter the matchup, and can expect quite a few passes from Michael Penix Jr. against Indy, which makes him a streaming candidate as well.

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Coming off their Week 9 bye, the Buccaneers pass rush is fresh and fierce, ranking fourth in pressure rate and 10th in sack rate so far in 2025. They’ve done it largely with extra pass rushers, as Todd Bowles has blitzed at the seventh-highest rate in the league through nine weeks. And now they’ll meet with Drake Maye and a highly suspect Patriots offensive line. While Tampa Bay has posted the fourth-highest pressure rate on defense, New England has surrendered the fourth-highest pressure rate on offense.

However, Maye has been a wizard under duress: New England sports NFL Pro’s seventh-most efficient passing offense under pressure and ranks fourth specifically against the blitz. The second-year QB has seven touchdowns, zero interceptions and a 125.6 passer rating against the blitz (that passer rating is second-best among qualified passers), and he leads all passers with 8.5 yards per attempt under pressure. Additionally, Maye has the Patriots ranked number one in NFL Pro efficiency on deep passes — where he’s completed 15 of 22 attempts for five touchdowns, zero interceptions and a 150.6 passer rating. On the other side, the Bucs rank fourth in defensive efficiency on deep passes and have allowed one TD, logged one INT and held passers to a 23.3% completion rate on those attempts. This is a good-against-good matchup across the board.

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